Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.086168 0.099605 0.114438 0.132027 0.152319 0.174998 0.202277
2025-12-28 0.067141 0.085757 0.108412 0.138016 0.175700 0.222102 0.283646
2026-01-04 0.056101 0.076841 0.103864 0.141659 0.193199 0.261112 0.357568
2026-01-11 0.048471 0.070280 0.100323 0.144736 0.208799 0.298005 0.431975
2026-01-18 0.042254 0.064365 0.096324 0.145893 0.220957 0.330599 0.503413
2026-01-25 0.036631 0.058317 0.091040 0.144025 0.227826 0.355577 0.565835
2026-02-01 0.031472 0.052165 0.084642 0.139331 0.229332 0.371997 0.616261
2026-02-08 0.028643 0.049281 0.082870 0.141527 0.241673 0.406257 0.698548
2026-02-15 0.025951 0.046236 0.080393 0.142104 0.251152 0.436526 0.777201
2026-02-22 0.023862 0.043935 0.078838 0.143949 0.262795 0.471358 0.867216
2026-03-01 0.021327 0.040513 0.074904 0.141042 0.265531 0.490699 0.931360
2026-03-08 0.019248 0.037670 0.071661 0.138955 0.269390 0.512205 1.001482
2026-03-15 0.017837 0.035960 0.070382 0.140529 0.280533 0.548755 1.105204
2026-03-22 0.017130 0.035547 0.071527 0.146943 0.301811 0.606919 1.258097
2026-03-29 0.016200 0.034565 0.071429 0.150821 0.318383 0.657494 1.401262
2026-04-05 0.015295 0.033522 0.071076 0.154098 0.334011 0.707686 1.549123
2026-04-12 0.014283 0.032128 0.069835 0.155330 0.345398 0.750189 1.685197
2026-04-19 0.013094 0.030204 0.067253 0.153340 0.349528 0.777626 1.791183
2026-04-26 0.011789 0.027865 0.063513 0.148343 0.346370 0.788800 1.861698
2026-05-03 0.011166 0.027028 0.063022 0.150681 0.360151 0.838997 2.027575
2026-05-10 0.010475 0.025947 0.061854 0.151296 0.369945 0.881055 2.178822
2026-05-17 0.009931 0.025160 0.061283 0.153260 0.383142 0.932311 2.357845
2026-05-24 0.009121 0.023621 0.058759 0.150164 0.383617 0.953275 2.464244